Degenerate Gamblers

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halloween-football.jpg Halloween football image by jazyjc We’ll get to Forida-UGA, but mindful of the need to get our investments called in to the local vig before noon EST, we’re all business this a.m. 

Housekeeping…like so many tattooed girls we’ve met in pool halls over the years, WVU excited us under cover of darkness only to disappoint when the lights came on.  In a related story, we’ve noted that this year more than last, even the most marginally compelling of matchups has seemed to find its way to primetime television this year, which makes for a horrible noon slate for watching and more importantly, gambling.  This is no doubt due in part to E-SPIN’s unholy matrimony with the SEC, and in part because the Big 11 is horrible TV rife with slow players, corpulent chicks, and teams exchanging buckets of spit and the like after every game.  So….only 2 nooners today…

Ole Miss (-5) v. Auburn:  The frosty-tipped heads at E-SPIN , when not busy sexing starry-eyed interns in Bristol to “learn” the ropes, have been lamenting the demise of Ole Miss since the Rebels went down to (that’s “to” not “on” degenerates) the OBC early this year.  Since then, Saban’s rowdy horde has plundered The Grove, which has further eroded any widespread support for Nutt and his cronies. 

Erstwhile, on the plains, Auburn’s gimmicky offense has fallen so far its advertising on Craig’s List for world series tix.  Today, Auburn can try to get their life back against the best defense in the SEC outside of Birmingham and Gainesville.  We smell R-E-L-A-P-S-E.  Ole Miss wins easy, Ole Miss -5.

Wisconsin (-7) v. Purdue:  Only 7?  Oh yeah, Purdue got lucky and beat OSU last week.  Won’t happen again.  Wizzy in a laugher.  Wisconsin -7.

GTU (-11.5) at Vandy:  Vandy, laughing stock of the SEC football fan and pride of the league’s scholastic sorts, did there best to ruin our ‘Tussin theory last week, when they covered against the OBC’s poor performing ‘Cocks.  While erratic performance is common in South Carolina, it isn’t in the ATL where GT’s flex-bone damn near always finds the right spot.  The ‘Tussin theory will be back after the Jackets hammer the ‘Dores tonight.  Back the truck up on this one.

We’ve got two more we’re eyeballing, but these should keep you busy while we talk to our sources on the ground. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ACC, ATS, Bama, Degenerate Gambler, Degenerate Gamblers, SEC

Sorry for the lack of posts this week, busy doing grown-up stuff, like scouring the city for string licorice to make spider legs on cupcakes for my son’s Halloween Party.

Housekeeping…3-2 on posted picks last week, running our record to 14-6 ATS over the last 3 weeks.  How you like ‘dem apples?  Also working up a nice post on the deafening silence surrounding the UF-UGA tilt, which will have by far the hottest girls at any CFB game in the countrty this Saturday, but I digress. 

WVA (-3) at USF: USF is fading fast after ignitiing its faithful with a (not too) shocking win in Tally a few weeks back.  Since then, humbling b*** slappings by Big East heavy…well…light-heavyweights, Cinci and Pitt have smitten ‘da Bulls, no doubt pennance for their idolatry (Groth is the only true God!).  The smiting will continue tonight with a WVU team that can pass and boasts 10-year speedster Noel Devine to boot.  USF’s D is good enough to keep it close, but not close enough to cover the small number.

No need to get all giddy on the shine and sex you cousins, but…

WVU -3. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, Da' Bulls, Degenerate Gambler, Degenerate Gamblers, DEGENERATES, WVU

FSU (+3) v. UNC:  Was a time when FSU ruled the world relatively speaking, at least the world north of Coral Gables.  Many won’t believe this, but it’s true.  We here at SNL vividly recall numerous ACC beat-downs meted out by the ‘Noles, and few more handed to our beloved Gators. 

Today, we here at SNL laugh and laugh some more at the futility of FSU football, which is like a turtle on its back about now.  Naturally, it is not lost upon us that this would be funnier if FSU wasn’t getting a little laugh of its own by crushing Florida’s strength-of-schedule with each humiliating loss (and some victories).  Still, it’s hard to not to empathize with the ‘Noles, at least for those who suffered through the Zook era, and Bowden remains the affable, grandfather that many of us never had.

None of which has a damn thing to do with tonight’s game, which pits former warden of Da’U penitentiary, Butch “I’ll find a way to make you eligible” Davis, against the affable old feller described above.  True to form, the warden has a solid defense, full of criminal types capable of causing considerable duress amongst you suburbanites and your uptight wives.  Problem is, Davis has yet to find a QB, and lacks the depth of criminals necessary to overcome this shortcoming on the offensive side of the ball.

FSU, conversely, has had a couple of weeks to bask in the implosion of their program, which has been a frightful site even for avowed ‘Nole haters.  The fans are sick of Bowden, who now says he will be around for a “few years,” and their coach-in-waiting, Fisher, has shown nothing to indicate that he is the answer.  Even so, ponderous sorts will ultimately find their way to the fact that Ponder is an above-average QB and ‘Noles offense is, in fact, pretty capable when it wants to be, which should be the case tonight.  Look for the ‘Noles to rally around Bowden tonight, and win this game outright-but take the 3 points for good measure.  FSU +3. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ACC, ATS, Da' U, Degenerate Gamblers, Noles

cowbellBefore getting into an overly in-depth diatribe about why Gator fans should relax and stop worrying about Alabama (who is not on Florida’s schedule when last SNL checked), we at SNL would like to remind you that we were 4-0 last week ATS.  Naturally, we hid our boyish glee when visiting Vinnie and the boys in the back of Sal’s yesterday to collect our dough, but that’s because we’re scared of him, and not you (except for the ‘Bama fan who has been threatening to kill SNL and his family for the last couple of weeks). 

Moving on…the spin-doctors have been overtime since Florida’s narrow win as if the Arkansas game existed in a vacuum and is therefore the sole piece of relevant evidence available to predict how Florida’s season will end.  For most of the national heads (and some local), Florida’s bloody demise will occur at the hands of the Birmingham shock troops led by Nick Saban, which seems reasonable based on the available resume of both teams to date.  The more pedestrian analysts have trumpeted this mundane argument with little more than a ”scoreboard” thesis, noting that ‘Bama drummed Arkansas by 28 whereas Florida escaped with a 3-point win.  We here at SNL find this juvenile attempt to employ the transitive properties of victories and losses to be entertaining in the way that circus monkeys are entertaining, funny for a minute or two, but lacking the depth needed to keep asses in the seats. 

The smaller-and arguably less well-reasoned-camp maintains that Florida’s come from behind victory over the is signature win that St. Tim of Tebow needed to re-focus this team, the one shining moment we will all look back on when Florida hoists the BCS trophy for the second time in a row and third time in four years this January.   The logic of this argument too lacks any real presumptive force, and not just because it is largely espoused by ex-Gator players on local airwaves-most of whom peaked vocationally when they were gifted….errr…..”earned” their physical education degree from UF, but because the “miracle” win can more easily be construed as an indictment of Florida’s offense and defense.  The offensive woes are tolerable and all, SNL included, unapologetically believed before last Saturday that as long as St. Tebow and Pope Urban remained breathing, the offense would round into form at some point.  The defense was another story, it was our heart, where we Gators pointed when opposing fan bases derided this year’s team.  This is a little harder to do after the hyped Gator D gave up 188 yards in 3 possessions after taking a 13-10 lead last Saturday.  As above, Florida was missing some bodies on the line, but this year’s D continues tro be a very-good-but-far-from-dominant unit.  This is primarily due to the difficulty Florida has had with power runners fielded by Arkansas and Tennessee, which makes Ingram seem more frightening than Vinnie, but only slightly. 

The truth, as SNL told you on Saturday, was that Arkansas is much improved since their beatdown at ‘Bama, and Florida was lacking bodies on the D-Line and largely unfocused after winning a nationally telecasted game in Baton Rouge against a top-10 opponent.  It is therefore ridiculous to suggest that this year’s version of the Gators cannot, under any circumstances, beat ‘Bama.  Should Florida be favored over ‘Bama if the game was played this week?  Probably not.  Thankfully, we don’t have to worry about that yet. 

Dis and Dat…The Noles take their low-flying circus on the road to visit former Warden of Da’ U,  Butch Davis.  We haven’t capped this game yet, but we plant to.  Layla Kiffin’s effeminate hubby is still taking shots at Meyer, though their getting slightly more veiled.  This time, Layla’s boy-toy has gone out of his way to tell all within earshot that ‘Bama is clearly better than Florida.  Presumably, this assertion comes from Kiffin’s review of film?  Irrespective, Kiffin is still the crown-prince of a losing program and better still, Florida fans can openly root for ‘Bama to crush Kiffin’s Vols this week, since the Gators will get their shot at the Tide later.  And, Colin Cowherd, one of E-SPIN’s better radio personalities, just opined that the refs gave Florida the win last week.   Based on time remaining, down and distance, and other objective factors-like Tebow on the field-this opsition seems a little off-base, but keep winning and no one will remember either way.  Terrelle Pryor is taking heat from the Buckeye fan bas and quite frankly, looking more and more like an NFL receiver…

Next…Thursday’s pick and Layla Kiffin’s Husband’s dream come true, a scathing rebuke of his continued “ass-ness” by a blooger-this blogger in fact.   

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, Bama, BCS, Darth Saban, Degenerate Gambler, DEGENERATES, Layla Kiffin, SEC, Urban Meyer, Vols

Saturday’s Picks (7-4 last week ATS).  It’s a long year, but we fell we are hitting our stride, with two winning weeks in a row.  Too many games last week, so SNL has narrowed it down to a sexy quartet that’s sure to please.

Texas (-3.5/55) v. Okie:  As usual, there are some compelling story lines here, including but  not limited to the return of Bradford, Colt McCoy’s lost mustache, and Oklahoma’s chance to resuscitate its struggling brand.  However, for “investment” purposes, the only storyline that matters today is D-E-F-E-N-S-E, as in two of the top 16 units in the country on the field in a highly competitive, emotionally charged atmosphere. 

We root for Florida here, and couldn’t care less which outfit walks out of Dallas with a W, but we enjoy harnessing the hard work and dedication of young college football players into cold, hard cash.  No way these two teams hit this number.  Under 55 is the pick.

UGA (-7) at Vandy:  This game reminds us of Chris Rock’s “Tussin Skit,”  you know, the one where Rock recites how his father believed (Robi) “Tussin” could cure all ailments (it was Balmex and Alka Seltzer in our house), including crush fractures of the tibia and heart attacks. 

Well, Vandy is the “Tussin” of the CFB world, whatever aisl you, Vandy can fix it.  Sure, UGA is under assault from its own fan base and coming off a blowout to Layla Kiffin’s husband, but it’s nothing a little ‘Tussin…err……Vanderbilt can’t fix.  Vandy is horrible on offense, defense, and apparently, believes the forward pass is akin to sorcery.  UGA gets well today, bu a long shot.  This on e will be over by halftime.  Georgia -7.5 (buy the hook if you’re frought with trepidation, but no need, this is a double-digit win). 

Our-Kansas (+24) v. Florida:  Our beloved Gators, defenders of the Crown and home to CFB’s resident rock-star, Tebow take to the field today to play the pass happy Razorbacks.  The spread, presumably, is predicated on the “Flori-Bama” effect gripping the nation.  Ergo, ‘Bama beat Arkie by 28, so Florida should too.  Right?

Wrong.  Arkie is better now than t was then, and Florida is missing some bodies in the D-Line.  Florida is still the best red zone defense in the Country, and the Hawgs will struggle to find the end zone.  But they’ll get to the red zone plenty.  Florida wins 31-14, but doesn’t cover.  Arkansas +24.

USC (+18.5) v. ‘Bama:  ‘Bama and its diminutive-in-stature-but-ferocious-in-demeanor Coach, Saban, are CFB’s verion of the 2007 Giants.  In other words, the physicality of ‘Bama football is a force to behold, so much so that SNL winces on the couch every time the ball is snapped and ‘Bama’s defense is on the field.  That said the OBC has right fine defense too, and just enough offense to stay on the field with the Herculean Bama’ans.  USC +18-maybe a nail biter, but we’ll get it done.

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, Degenerate Gambler, Layla Kiffin, Meyer, Pope Meyer, Tebow

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