PAC 10

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  SNL has never been to Memphis.  There’s a reason for this-SNL knows people who have and they have uniformly advised that the trip was harrowing, to say the least.  That said, SNL, thanks to Memphis’ Final 4 run in hoops, was able to secure an image of a Memphis cheerleader which saved all of you from a picture of a sweaty Derrick Rose atop this post. 

In any event-Its Thursday night, a time for degenerates everywhere to embrace one another in one of those uncomfortable “man hugs” in anticipation of another week of college football.  So let’s get going….  

For most of you, USF v. Pitt and to a lesser extent, OSU v. Utah, will be the resting place for  your investment of your wife’s “rainy day” fund which, SNL knows,you intend to repay after you win back last week’s losses on tonight’s games.  SNL will offer some insight into these games, but must first chide you for failing to identify the most lucrative investment vehicle on the board tonight-the Memphis Tigers.

Memphis (-3/57o) at UAB:  For starters, you should know that Memphis averages right at 500 yards per game on offense, and throws and runs with equal aplomb.  In their 3 losses, the Tigers outgained Ole Miss Marshall and Rice respectively, but were undone by turnovers and red zone miscues.  The “scouting report for dummies,” therefore, is that Memphis is a very capable offensive club with an average (by Conference USA standards) defense. 

UAB, conversely, is a team that has lived up to its billing, which is not a good thing.  Sure, UAB can spread the field and throw the ball with some consistency and should be able to score against this Memphis D-but also fields one of the worst defenses in college football.  SNL therefore likes Memphis to cover this small number and, while your busy spending your child’s college fund, may as well hit the over too-plenty of passing and scoring in this one.  

Oregon St. (+11.5/53o) at Utah:    Oregon St., like the bartender you keep overtipping but won’t ask out, remains an enigma.  Go ahead, make your sophomoric joke about the fact that this team is confusing and has the “Beaver” as its mascot so we can move on.  What you should know is that irrespective of which hat the enigmatic Beavers wear, they are pretty consistent on offense.  The Beavers outgained the Cardinals by 200 yards in a loss, and mustered a respectable 350 yards on PSU. 

The Utes can also play and field a very good run defense.  However, the Utes have struggled with teams that can pass and surrendered 300+ yards to Weber St.  While the Utes will score enough to get the W, SNL’s gut says that OSU more closely resembles the team that beat the priapically obsessed Trojans than the one the lost to Joe Pa’ and therefore likes OSU to play within this generous number. 

For those of you who are determined to put some “action” on the USF game so you can chew the inside of your lip while you look over your girl’s shoulder at Chili’s tonight, que lastima.  SNL canot find an angle on this game worth stealing additional money from his wife’s E-Bay account.  Pittsburgh is schizophroenic, but remains very much the same team that was ranked in the top-20 to start the season and was a vogue pick to challenge for the Big East Crown.  Pitt has, however, lost to a Bowling Green club that it dominated statistically, and beat by 1 an Iowa club that dominated Pitt statistically.  Pitt also went down 14-3 to the ‘Cuse last week before pulling away in the second half.  So, do what you will with this one.  Seems like a generous number and there should be some offensive fireworks in this one too.  Still, no play for SNL.

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

 

tertainment standpoint, tonight’s card is about as good as a mid-season Thursday tilt can get.  As the more astute among you have doubtless deduced, Derrick Rose of Memphis is pictured above.  Why?  Because there are no images of Memphis’ football team available on the web.

Tags: ATS, Degenerate Gamblers, PAC 1+9, Vegas

  USC has done “it” again.  The obvious “it” is going into a PAC-10 game against a vastly inferior opponent and, against all odds, walked out the loser.  In fact, this is 3 years in a row that USC has lost to a 3 touchdown underdog.  The most infuriating aspect of what must now be considered a “trend,” is that the national pundits will again give USC a hall pass based on the number of 5-star recruits on the roster and the “eye test” which confirms that the Trojans are stocked with future professional rasslers’.

The primary difference between last night’s horrible defeat and those in seasons past, is that the Beavers manhandled USC for the entire first half.  There were no turnovers of “swing plays” outside of McKnight’s fumble, which was brought about by a furious up-field rush from the Beaver’s front 7, and USC was simply outmuscled.  In addition, USC’s “pro style” offense was unimaginative and predictable, as evidenced by the Beaver defenders, who were positioned for success throughout the game.  Non-believers you can check the stats:

Team Stat Comparison
 
1st Downs 16 22
3rd down efficiency
2-10 7-16
4th down efficiency
1-1 0-0
Total Yards 313 343
Passing 227 167
Comp-Att
18-29 18-28
Yards per pass
7.8 6.0
Rushing 86 176
Rushing Attempts
22 45
Yards per rush
3.9 3.9
Penalties 7-84 5-27
Turnovers 2 0
Fumbles lost
1 0
Interceptions thrown
1 0
Possession 25:10 34:50

For the PAC-10 apologist, who can be expected to ramp up the cries of  “how come when the SEC loses in conference, its fratricide, when USC loses to another PAC-10 club, its considered an upset?”  SNL could spend hours enumerating the reasons for this canon, but in the end, the loosely woven litany of reasons leads to one conclusion:  The PAC-10 is not very good from top to bottom, and this year, its downright horrible. 

In fact, for the USC apologist looking to blame something for last night’s humbling defeat, the PAC-10’s lack of competition for the muscle-bound Trojans is as good a culprit as any. In other words, the ferocity of the SEC makes each game so important because W’s against even the middle of the pack teams, such as Ole Miss, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Vandy take on added importance because the heavyweights know that looming on the horizon is a group of contenders with bad intentions, which include Florida, Georgia, LSU, Auburn, and Alabama (and in year’s past, Tennessee).

By analogy, USC is the super handsome guy next to you wo doesn’t try that hard to impress girls that are 5 on a 10 scale-he doesn’t have to.  One look and they are his for the taking.  In the context of the PAC-10, USC is the only guy with any charisma at all.  He gets gets all the girls, wins all the awards and does it all without trying.   So how prepared can one reasonably expect USC to be when it goes on the road to play a team that lost to Stanford and was blown out by Joe Pa’s band of hardened criminals?  Let SNL help-not very.

SNL has been preaching without fanfare the folly of placing USC in the title game after the blowout wins against Virginia (who is a 7-point underdog at Duke this weekend) and Ohio St., who SNL expects to lose at least 2 more games.  Today, these assertions seem more relevant than ever.  The greater issue, however, is whether the CFB collective will accept that USC’s veneer of invincibility has thinned to the point that it is no longer entitled to the “benefit of the doubt” when it comes time to go bowling.  So, let’s not call last night’s loss an aberration, becasue it isn’t-the Trojans are and have been overrated for several years now. 

For the rest of today, we can all enjoy the CFB world falling all over itself to explain the Trojans’ latest inexcusable defeat.  As the season wears on and it becomes evident that USC will again carry the PAC-10, the mouths at E-SPIN will reconstitute in unison their now annual chants of “USC is playing better than anyone in the country right now” (see Dr. Saturday’s post for more on this) which, at the end of the day, doesn’t and shouldn’t matter because unlike the Buckeyes, who have trouble in primetime, USC can’t handle being the matinee, which is a must for those who aspire to be champions. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Picture via Dr. Saturday via Ghetty Images

Tags: E-SPIN, Men of Troy, PAC 1+9, SEC

Should we run Coach Croom
Should we run up the middle Coach Croom?

By now you know that SNL does its homework, so in the vein of the ostensibly impartial and always abrasive  Bill O’Reilly, the following write-ups will be “pithy.”

 

ECU at NCSU (+7/44o/u):  In the words of the only…uhhhh…”rural-minded” individual SNL knows, “Buckshot” Aaron, somebody needs to “teach that dog (NCSU) to hunt.”  Sure, ECU struggled at Tulane last week, and may struggle today, but this total is way to high.  While there’s no such thing as a lock, this game is a:
“a device for securing money in position when gambled, consisting of a bolt or system of bolts propelled and withdrawn by a mechanism operated by a key, dial, etc.”
Miss ST. at GTU (-7.5/37o/u):  Before you spend your allowance on this one, you should confirm who Coach Croom’s starting pitcher will be.  It won’t matter-these two teams won’t score 37 points without 5 overtimes.  SNL likes the under.
Wake Forest v. FSU (-5/51o/u):  Wake Forest will score on FSU like Herbstreit at a Sorority House. FSU should score plenty too-take the points, take the over, just try to insert yourself somewhere amidst all this scoring.
LSU at Auburn (+3/37o/u):  The only man SNL ever met from Auburn told him that SNL was “wuthless as tits on a boar hog.”  This would have been more upsetting had it made any sense to a native Miamian (and had this man not been wearing a barrel with supported by suspenders).  Irrespective, SNL is trying to figure out what’s more likely, these teams scoring 37 points, or Obama carrying Alabama in the election.  After some thought, the former is more likely, but not likely enough….take the under.
-So Sayeth the Shepherd
 

Tags: ATS, BCS, DEGENERATES

The predictable aftermath of USC’s decapitation of the Buckeyes (metaphorically illustrated to the right) has been a consolidation of USC atop the polls and  the now-common chorus of the pundits, who are extolling the virtues of this year’s Trojan squad byshouting to all within earshot their belief that this team is every bit the equal of the Leinart-Bush dynasty that preceded them.  Even SNL, hard-headed by any objective measure, is not so obstinate as to mainatin that USC is anyhting but the #1 team in CFB right now.

However, SNL will be the first to go on record as saying that USC’s convincing victories of arguably the worst team in the ACC (which lost to Uconn this week 45-10), and what will, by year’s end, be a 2 or 3 loss Buckeye squad, are insufficient to warrant the devout allegiance of the CFB world at this juncture of the season.

With respect to the Buckeyes, the disparity of speed at the skill positions and the plodding, unimaginative offense favored by the Vest, made for yet another mismatch.  In its most digestable form, OSU’s inability to run caused its QB’s to do something that, quite frankly, they suck at-pass!!  SNL knew, as did most of the flock, that the ability to run against USC’s front 7 was predicated on OSU’s willingness and ability to steadily complete the short and intermediate passes necessary to back off the linebackers who, by the way, are complete beasts.  Fortunately, OSU had neither the willingness nor the ability and treated the CFB world to another game that was less engaging than an episode of the Surreal Life.

 The inevitable manifestation on the Buckeye side of the coin  has been an equally loud chorus of detractors, who can now point to a trifecta of OSU futility on a national stage as grounds for denying the Buckeyes any BCS consideration, even if they win the remainder of their games.  The more nebulous, and hence more titillating, issue is whether the Buckeyes are now so demoralized that they are incapable of seeing themselves as a top-5 program, a condition which, if true, may result in as many as 3 more losses this season. 

The BCS is also a recipient of unwanted Buckeye baggage which, coupled with the Pac-10’s miserable weekend-which saw losses to five Mountain West teams, including a 59-0 loss by UCLA and a home loss by ASU to UNLV-as USC now officially plays no one for the rest of the year.  What this means is that the winner of the Oklahoma-Missouri contest in the Big 12 title game, which is a certainty, and the winner of the Florida-Georgia game, will be vying for the right to play the Trojans, who should breeze through the remainder of the lambs on their schedule.

Result?  A 1-loss SEC champ, which is also inevitable, will be shunned for the Big 12 champ-which will send the SEC fans into a trailer-tipping frenzy, and provide the basis for anther year of fruitless “we-need-a-playoff” discussions amongst the fans.

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

  Loyal members of the flock (which is approximately 35 strong according to google), SNL welcomes you to the “Circle of Trust,”  which confers to you many benefits.  Well, maybe not many, but at least one:  WINNERS!!!  After last night’s Baylor romp, SNL is now a strong 7-3-1 ATS, which is a damn site better than the goombahs peddling their GOYS, POWS, and Locks.  No thanks is necessary, but adulation, kudos, and even worship would be nice surrogates.  Now….
Missouri (-26.5) v. Nevada:  Missouri, newly anointed CFB royalty, showed the nation that it will again be unstoppable on offense when it outdueled Zooker and the “Juice.”  Led by its vertically challenged QB, Chase Daniels, the party-line on Mizzou as spun by the E-SPIN machine is that Chase will win the Heisman and his team will coast unchallenged until meeting Stoops semi-pro team in the Big 12 Championship.  Whatev…
In its 35-19 loss to the Red Raider, another offensive juggernaut, Nevada had 28 first downs (to TT’s 20), 488 total yards (to TT’s 421), and held the ball almost 14 minutes longer.  For those flock members that are slothful of wit, Nevada can score on Mizzou’s defense-alot.  Not enough to win, but more than enough to cover this gratuitous line.
Pick:  Nevada +26.5
BYU (-8) v. UCLA:  The spoils for victorious gridiron gladiators of UCLA, as shown above, are significant.  And, after bludgeoning Fulmer’s well-fed Vols in front of a national audience, the Vegas goombahs have offered to the degenerates a touchdown for Bruins backers.  Why?  For starters, because BYU’s 1 point (and now infamous) victory of UW was not nearly as close as the score indicated-BYU outgained the Huskies by almost 200 yards and, some redzone miscues not withstanding, could have sent the woeful Huskies limping to their dens early in the third quarter.
Nonetheless, there are two reasons that UCLA, who handed BYU a beatdown last year in the city of Angels, will prevail:  1) The ironically bear-like DT’s of UCLA will cause chaos for BYU; and 2) Coaching.  Previous posts have illuminated the omniscience that results from the Neuheisel/Chow equation, and the brain-trust will again show the nation and more importantly, the Men of Troy, that UCLA is on the rise.
Pick:  UCLA +8
 
Georgia Tech v. VTU (-7):   VTU did little to heal its psyche last week.  Sure, the Hokies won 24-7, but they were up only 3-0 at the half, and mustered an anemic 14 first downs-which, was only 1 more that Furman put up against the ghost of VT’s defense.  More depressing than the uniforms, the offense, or the death of “Bimmer-ball,” however, is that Furman outgained the Hokies by 160 yards through the air.
This year’s Tech team, conversely, is a paragon of contrasts; its offense, a struggling neophyte with some potential; its defense a nasty bunch who can get after the QB and refuse to allow their opponents to run the ball.  Period.  In the nebulous “intangible” category, the Techies, protractors and all, are a team that is swelling with confidence.  Erstwhile, in Blacksburg the stooped shoulders are reminiscent of last year’s Miami squad, which was ready to quit after 2 games.
Unfortunately, the wistful Hokie backers hoping for a resurrection of Bimmer-ball this week will get instead a Yellow Jacket insurgence.
Pick:  Georgia Tech +7
Girls SNL likes, but not enough to commit to or bring home to mom:
Rice + 8.5
GT/VT u38
MTSU +18 
-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ACC, BIG 10, Big 12, Cheerleaders

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