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tebow-volsIt was about this time last year when the Gator Nation was eating its own, attacking Meyer’s offensive acumen and lamenting the Gators desultory (here’s link for the thick of skull flock-members) offense and its inability to score points-alot of them.  This despite easy wins over Da’ U, Hawaii and those wascally Vols.  In the weeks that followed, Florida lost to Ole Miss, St. Tim of Tebow uttered the infamous  ”promise,” and Florida beheaded its remaining opponents like a medieval Monarch.   

Fueled by pre-season hype akin to “Beetle-Mania,” or so I’m told, a laughable pre-season slate, and Kiffin’s yapper, Saturday’s game against the suddenly-cool-to-hate-again Vols was going to be Florida’s Magnus Opus, a beating of biblical proportions meted out by the Orange and Blue Jesus, Tebow.  This game, circled on Gator calendars since Kiffin’s hire, was a statement game, pure and simple.  The statement, however, was not what the blood-lusting Gators wanted, but it’s probably the one they needed. 

First, let’s set out some basic facts.  It was obvious from the second quarter forward that UT could not beat Florida and it was equally obvious after 3 quarters that the Vols weren’t trying to beat Florida.  Florida punted only once and was a Tebow fumble away from posting 30 on UT.  Still, there’s no denying that on some level Kiffin got what he wanted, a “respectable” loss, and the Vol spin doctors are giddy with their “progress” under the Kiffin regime through 3 games.  Lost amidst UT’s euphoria are a couple of facts:  The Vols are 1-2 with a home loss to a PAC-10 team, and Florida is the top-ranked team and most consistent program in the country.  Framed as such Kiffin’s zeal in losing a not-as-close-as-it-seemed game to Florida (UT’s 4th consecutive loss to Florida) is more of an indictment of where his program is than the final score, however lopsided, could ever be.   In other words, the Vols are Ernie Els to Florida’s Tiger Woods.  Kapish?

For the Gators, it may be time to accept this year’s team for what it is, which is an excellent defense and an offense built around a power running game and make no mistake, Florida is a power running team no matter how many guys you see lining up at receivor.    If you look across the aisle Gator fan, you’ll see that your likely date in the A-T-L this year is fiendishly employing this same recipe albeit in slightly different fashion.  Darth Saban, whose Tide looks every bit the equal of Florida through 3 games, like Meyer, knows how to win.  Run.  Force turnovers.  Crush your opponents resolve with bone jarring hits on both sides of the ball.  For some, the transition may be difficult, the hi-fi pyro-technic display seared into our collective psyche by Harvin and Murphy put on last year was great.  Now, the Gator Nation is in effect breaking up with that really hot girl with a store-bought pair and questionable morals for the smart and pretty girl that you can present to the parentals without hesitation.  Sure, there will be the occasional E-SPIN highlight to satisfy the talking heads,  akin to a drunken make-out with your loose ex while your current is out of town, but you must stay the course!    In the end, the pretty and smart girl with a college degree and foresight is more than ample to get you where you want to be.  And, this years lo-fi edition can still do something that no other Gator team has ever done, win ALL of it’s games.  Do this and no one will remember that you didn’t beat Tennessee by 40 points.  A point which Meyer is well aware of. 

Moving on…SNL is 6-4 ATs through 3 weeks.  Left some easy winners on the table this week, but flock members who were around last year know that weeks 5 through 11 are where the coin is made.  FSUwas impressive and helped UF’s SOS with a dominant win over the Mormon hordes.  Maybe some of the ‘Noles will be “making it rain” in a strip club near you after all.  The Men of Troy, helmed by the Poodle, have blissfully let us all off the hook early this year, losing as a 19-point favorite at Washington.   For those who missed it, Jake Locker was phenomenal in the 4th-quarter.   Unlike year’s past, however, this year’s Trojans suck, predictable on offense, no playmakers at wideout.  Stay tuned, more losses to come, maybe SNL will start following the Poodle’s “tweets.”  LSU is getting better each week, and bye the bye, how impressive does LSU’s win at Washington look now? 

Coming soon……

Thurday’s Picks

Vincenzo’s Revenge

WHY SNL is smarter than you (wayyyyyyyyyy smarter, in fact)

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, BCS, Degenerate Gamblers, Gators, LSU, Urban, Urban Meyer, Vandy

Boise St., in its last purported “test” of the season, wone a shootout over San Quentin…err….Fresno St. last night.  This was the second and ,presumably,  last opportunity for Boise to impress, and they failed.   As it stands, Boise will finish undefeated with a resume that will include a 19-8 win over an Oregon team that appears much worse than advertised (and should have lost to Purdue last week).

Make no mistake, Boise is good, capable of beating a handful of BCS heavyweights in a bowl game, provided the that the heavyweight in question is disinterested due to narrowly losing its conference Championship and thereby missing an opportunity to play in the BCSCG a la Alabama last year.

That said Boise is not a team that would be capable of winning the SEC, Big 12, Pac-10, and would struggle to win the ACC, particularly with a resurgent Miami to go with V. Tech.  Last night it was plain to see that there was an overall lack of power and speed, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, which in SNL’s opinion, makes Boise a de facto non-contender for the BCSG under any circumstance-with the possible exception of a host of 2-loss teams from the power conferences. 

Moving on…

Today, flock, is the day of the “dog,” and you heard it from SNL first. 

FSU @ BYU (-7.5):  This game calls for some imagery, so here goes:  FSU’s players arrive on campus hoping to one day “make it rain” with crazy NFL loot  a la such luminaries as Pac-Man Jones, Travis Henry, and Nelly.  BYU’s choir boys, conversely, arrive on Campus ready to serve a power higher than the NFL (we hope), and hope to one day earn enough money to support their large families because, you know, the whole birth control thing.  As far as football goes, FSU needs this win in the most horrible of ways, having been surpassed by Miami and nearly losing to Jacksonville St.  For BYU, beating FSU is like scoring a date with Goldie Hawn, you get the name recognition, but she’s just not that hot anymore.  In the end, however, a date with Goldie will still bolster your rep with the fellas.  BYU exploits the Noles young defense and covers easy.

Tennessee (+30) @ Florida.  SNL is a Gator fan, bleeds Orange and Blue and etc…  You should also know that the Gainesville Sun published an innocuous piec on Layla Kiffin, laying out Layla’s history as a UF grad, daughter of ex-UF QB, John Reeves, and most importantly, a former member of Zeta Tau Alpha Sorority, or the Zeta’s.  SNL spent some time in UF’s Greek System, the majority of which he doesn’t recall.  Suffice it to say that it’s more or less a bunch of rich kids fornicating and spending their parents money on booze, pills, road trips, with a (sanctimonious)semesterly charity function thrown in to throw the “rents” off the scent.  SNL has scooped a number of Zetas off the floor of local pubs over the years but by and large, they are a classy and hot bunch, so good for the Kiffins!

Oh yeah, back to the game.  UT has a good defense-probably the third best unit in the league, and a legendary coordinator to harness the talent.  SNL also explained in a previous post why the Vols and their suddenly beleaguered Coaches are backed into a corner.  In sum, the Vols D will slow down the Gators-a little-and cover this number.  For perspective, you should know that Joe “Grand” Pa’s Nittany Lions are a 30-point favorite over Temple.  Florida wins easy, but still doesn’t cover this number, 38-13 Gators. 

Toledo (+21) v. Ohio St.:  Regular readers know that SNL loves hangovers, when someone else has them; loves them even more when its the Buckeyes who are hungover.  Toledo, fresh off a beatdown of Colorado, rides their offense to a nice cover here.  You folks already playing with house money may want to moneyline this, after all, The Vest is still calling the plays.

Miss St. (+9.5) at Vandy:  Mullen has installed Florida’s offense with some success, at least in a relative sense.  And Vandy, is still Vandy, smart and undistracted by the hot co-eds at the other SEC institutions.  Bye the bye, Vandy also still believes the forward pass is what you do at a cocktail party.  Another salient point, Mullen’s boys know its Vandy too, and realisticall, the only league game they have a shot at.  MSU +9.

There’s your trifecta flock.  Enjoy. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, BCS, Degenerate Gambler, Gators, Layla Kiffin, Noles, PAC 1+9, the Vest, Vols

SNL has not yet had the opportunity to peruse the UM blogs, but judging by the increase in shootings in Dade County last night, fans of Da’U are placing their pride on display by doubling their meth intake.  Seriously, regular visitors know SNL loves to lampoon Da’ U, but also counts himself as an objective observer and prognosticator extraordinaire when it comes to CFB.  In effort to live up this admittedly self-proclaimed status and preserve what little respect fans of Da’ U appear to have for SNL, I must concede that Jacory Harris’ has emerged as the best quarterback in the ACC, and it’s not even close after Ponder’s performance against Jacksonville St. 

Through 2 games, Harris is hitting 70 percent of his passes for 11 yards per attempt and 16 per completion, with what appears to be 4 or 5 completely interchangeable (and speedy ) wideouts, none of whom is a household name.  Yet.  To further bolster the internal pain of this admission, SNL will point-out that he viewed G.Tech as a worthy investment-op at +6.  Apparently, there were many more non-believers, because this line dropped to 4 by game time, prompting SNL to greatly reduce his investment.  Before Cane fans start offering hugs and congratulatory pats to SNL, please know that  I continue have considerable disdain for the program, its fans, the City in general, which I was reminded of each time a sideline camera provided a glimpse of the gangsta’ fades sported by the Canes’ players a la Michael Irvin circa 1989.    That said if it walks like a duck and talks like a duck…

Moving On….YTD dropped to 4-3 ATS (5-3 unofficially), which will make Vincenzo happy.  For those visitors who have not made the lonely walk to the back of an Italian restaurant to pay an ex-wiseguy (I think it’s “ex”) for investment losses, let SNL assure you it is quite uncomfortable.  However, what’s more uncomfortable is walking to the back of Sal’s Fine Italian Dining” (replete with red and white checkered tablecloths) to collect investment winnings from a wise guy.  Here, the wise guy is Vinnie, who laughs without enthusiasm as he looks at his large, calloused hands and says without a smile, “[y]ou win any more kid, Vinnie’s gonna have to put these meat hooks around that tiny neck of yours.”   The shrill laugh that follows is just as discomforting, but cracks up the 4 or 5 other guys in Vinnie’s inner-circle, each of whom looks like he has (and would again) “erased” a soul or 2.  So, there is some silver lining to last night’s loss despite the blow to the ego.

Also, Mandel of SI fame has taken the torch for the PAC-10 in the now rote “who’s the best conference debate.”  Mandel goes on to take a thinly veiled shot at the SEC and specifically, Florida, pointing out that the best way to have a good non-conference record is to schedule “Charleston Southern and Troy.”  I have no problem with this because, well, it’s true.  Charleston Southern is an embarrassing game for a program that considers itself among the nation’s elite, and SNL care not what “the other guys are doing.” 

Even so, SNL likes and respects Gainesville Sun Sports Columnist, Pat Dooley, who in t turn speaks highly of Mandel.  But SNL just cannot get behind Mandel on this or any other topic.  This opinion was formed after a recent local sports radio appearance by Mandel, during which he seemed pained to be there and offered little other than some milk toast opinions about bowl tie-ins.  SNL, like most of the audience, was longing for Stewie Griffin about 30 seconds into the interview.  Couple that with the fact that Mandel, by virtue of his exalted status with si.com, has what amounts to a captive audience and uses this pulpit to promote his ridiculous “Mailbag Crush”, a sophomoric piece devoted to the adulation of a new up-and-coming starling each year, and SNL is pretty comfortable calling this guy a Jabrone.   Sure, this opinion is tinged with jealousy because being a lead writer for si.com trumps life as a trial attorney, but objective evidence indicates I’m right on the money.      

Finally…

Saturday’s Card is a tough one, with only 2 or 3 games that have any real appeal from an investment standpoint.  SNL will get the card out tonight, but here’s what we’re looking at folks:

FSU @ The Mormons (-7)

Miss. St. (+9) @ Vandy

So. Miss (-15) v. UVulA

WVU (+7.5) @ Auburn

UGA (+2.5) at Arkansas

we’ll get these pared down to something respectable this evening.  As always, comments, criticisms, and insights are welcome. 

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ACC, BCS, Degenerate Gambler, Gators, UGA

Poached from Dr. Saturday, who poached from “The Sportsblog”-worth a read.  Also worth noting that Tartt is entirely expendable-let’s hope the same can be said for Mullen.

For a best case scenario, let’s hope it goes like this: Jim Tartt, University of Florida lineman, is cruising along the internet, and some of his friends are part of a Facebook group, and he just clicks “Accept Invite” without thinking and moves on to class or practice. For a worst case scenario, you just assume that Tartt really belongs to a Facebook group called “Africa Gives Nothing To The World But AIDS.”Click image to see larger.

Tartt is unaware of Africa’s oil, natural gas, and mineral resources exported around the world, but being an anthropology major — wait, wait. An anthropology major joined a group called “Africa Gives Nothing To the World But AIDS?” Jim, do you know how many white guys in dai-shikis are going to be mad at you in the halls of the Anth department? Good luck getting a fair shake on your finals. The only export you may have to offer is academic ineligibility when your final paper “AIDS: Africa has a Lot of It” gets a flaming ‘F’ from your profs.

P.S. Facebook is public, student-athletes of the world. It’s open 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Dumb on the internet for a moment is dumb forever.

Tags: Facebook Idiocy, Gators, SEC

SNL, courtesy of his snot-nosed 11-month old, has spent the better part of this week with a fever and various symptoms associated with the common cold.  On the upside, this has provided ample time to ruminate, reminisce, and otherwise painstakingly contemplate the whole of the Florida-Georgia rivalry.  First and only conclusion to date:  SNL hates Georgia.  Period.

 No, SNL’s hatred is not born of UGA’s lack of sophistry, love of hillbilly colloquialisms, or misplaced belief that Georgia is not the redneck capital of the universe.  (Sure its not, outside of the ATL is there even a city in that godforsaken state?)  Nor is it because Georgians flock to Florida in droves each summer to vacation but hypocritically maintain that Florida is reviling wasteland come football season.  Nor is it because many Georgians believe a female capable of simple math is a “witch” and hold Saddam Hussein personally responsible for 9-11.  Nor is it because Georgia is personified by the err…..”gentlemen” below, who has molded into some curious symbiosis the obnoxiousness of “silver-pantsed” UGA regalia with the KKK’s standard getup. 

  The foregoing are all loathsome facts, worthy of engendering hate of the deepest and most impenetrable sort.  Nonetheless, SNL’s hate is visceral, transcendant,  and incapable of being rigidly cornered by those who would rely such trivialities to support their position.  SNL’s hate of Georgia is quite simply the purest form of emotion known to man-utter, abject, total, and unquenchable despise of all that is adjacent to, abuts, nears, approximates, or is in any way directly or indirectly related to the GD Georgia Bulldogs.  In the words of the quintessential angry wife:  “It is what it is.”

Be back soon with the analysis and prediction….

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: Gators, Meyer, SEC, UGA

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