Picks

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SNL’s apologies for the length of time between posts.  For the record, you can chalk it up to the usual litany of grown-man issues:  attention starved (but hot) wife; attention starved (but adorable) 1 yr-old son; and attention starved cases requiring maintenance in the form of mediations, motions, demands and the like.  Oh yeah, as evidenced below, SNL has also been forced to endure the South Beach diet, with admittedly stunning results, as you can see.

Naturally, SNL remains receptive to employment overtures from any mainstream media outlet.  Hell, he’d even goose step amongst the E-SPIN propagandists for a pittance…

There have been a number of inquiries since my last post-well, 10 to be exact.  Most were flattering calls for a speedy return from adoring readers.  The other 7 were typical ‘Bama fan vitriole calling for SNL’s death, threatening his family, and attacking his sexuality based on nothing more than his allegiance to his alma mater and unfettered hatred for the state of Alabama, its corpulent populace, 3-legged dogs, litter, love of fried shit, cigarettes and Code Red Mountain Dew, and most of all, its football team.

Interesting to note that the calls and e-mails from SNL’s Gator constituency continue to center around ‘Bama which means that, predictably, the Gators have discarded the viability of a ‘Nole (or Citadel) upset next week.  Go figure.
 

THE PICKS…

3-2 last week which means the wisby (This is a nickname SNL’s wife made for herself.  It is typically accompanied by a “husby,” which is SNL.  Embarrassing, but true.) is unlikely to receive her diamond earrings from Santa-husby.  But also means SNL does not owen Vincenzo any scratch and not in danger of losing a limb.

UW (-7.5) at Wazzou:  “This is a rivalry game…you can throw the records out the window…blah, blah, blah.”  These teams are a combined 1-20.  The gamewill not be televised nor would anyone watch if it were.  However, the winner of this game will be unofficially crowned the “second worst BCS team in 2009.”  This, friends, is a distinction worth fighting for!  Washington has been competitive of late, leading ‘zona in the 3rd quarter, and wants to send off Willingham in style.  Wazzou is lifeless, like a passed out tri-delt at homecoming.  Huskies roll!!!

Illinois v. Northwestern (+2.5):  Wrong team favored.  SNL wathced Zookers clubs quit on him for years and knows the recipe well.  Last week’s loss to the Buckeyes ensured that the Zookers will lie down this Saturday like the doormat bombshell that keeps letting you come over at 2:00 a.m. to say “hi.”  What’s her number again?

UT at Vandy (-3.5):  The Commies exact their revenge for years for years of futility by beating the poopie out of Foolmer’s despondent group.  For UT, the season mercifully ends-which is the only thing anyone dressed in that godawful neon orange cares about.  Vandy, conversely, is taking their geniusness bowling! Viva la revelucion’!

Ole Miss (+7) at LSU:  If this needs explaining, SNL cannot help you.  Ole Miss may well win this game outright.  For those playing with house money, throw some on the moneyline.  Nutt’s boys are headed to 8-4 and a top-25 ranking before its all said and done.

T.Tech (+7) v. Oklahoma:  This one is dicey, but a touchdown seems awful generous.  On the other hand, Tech hasn’t played anyone worth a damn outside of Lubbock, which makes Columbus (Ohio) look like gay Paris’ by the way.

Tags: ACC, ATS, Picks, SEC, The Hat

The embedded video below is only marginally relevant, but is nonetheless another piece of evidence that supports the CFB side in the NFL v. CFB debate.  In sum, NFL fans largely consist of drunken blue-collar sorts who hail from the lowest socio-economic demographic.  As a general rule, the the higher up in the stands you go, the bigger the losers (this guy is in the top row apparently).

CFB, conversely, has only drunken students, who like it or not, will soon graduate to the law, medical, and business professions and let’s face it, drunkennesss is a forgiveable sin when you’re 20 years-old, at a football game, and otherwise on the cusp of cushy white-collar life.  CFB also has bands, alumni, and cheerleaders who actually have some athletic skill. (as opposed to the augmented tarts who appear better suited for fame of the porno variety).

MOVING ON….

Haven’t tallied the last two weeks results, but have made it to 8 games above .500 ATS.  Also, it s my son’s 1st Birth day today, so gotta be brief.

Louisville (+6) v. Pitt:  Pitt won last week in an emotional game.  True, they beat the Irish, who are guaranteed to lose against a team with a winning record.  Still, Pitt is due for an outright loss or close call against the Cards, who lost to the Cuse last week.  This pick is more about Pitt’s inability to string together good performances, that Louisville’s ability to play football, so tread lightly here.

Kentucky (+13) v. UGA:  UK not getting enough credit due to the UF blowout but hell, who isn’t UF blowing out these days?  Good UK defense stops Noshow’s running game and keeps it close.  Strong pick.

Kansas (+1) v. Nebraska:  Had to check the IS when I saw this line.  Kansas’ offense is superb, Nebraska’s defense is horrible.  Nebraska’s offense is okay, Kansas’ defense slightly less horrible.  Take the senior QB and say it slowly, “rock, chalk, Jayhawk.”  Strong pick.

Oregon St. (-7.5) at UCLA:  Love UCLA’s coaches, but hat their players.  OSU has best running game in the PAC 1+9, UCLA has worst defense.  My son, who is currently drooling and slamming a pot lid on the kitchen floor, could figure this one out.  Beavers over Bears.

Cincinatti (+7.5) at WVU:  WVU has improved.  So has Cinci.  Like Cinci’s rush defense to keep this one close and, Cinci’s QB can throw a little.  Take the TD.

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, Picks

  After beginning the week with a 2-0-1 Thursday night card, SNL was lambasted Saturday (1-2) and ended up 3-3-1 for the week.  Hitting 50% will keep you “in the game,” (as will “Just for Men”) for awhile, but won’t put you in position for profligate (look it up) spending unless you are independently wealthy or an AIG executive.

So for SNL, like many of the teams it chronicles, week 6 is a time for introspection, a time to re-inventory strengths and weaknesses and embark on the second leg of a journey that leads to the promised land (which, for most of you degenerates, is drunk at the Bellagio with a stripper, but I digress).

How serendipitous it is then that this week’s card has provided investment opportunities that are far superior to those currently available on Wall Street, which means more or less that they won’t lose more than the 10% juice the book will charge you for playing. 

Finally, those of you who have achieved “degenerate status,” an elite club to be sure, know that there is no such thing as a “1000 star pick” or a “2000 star pick.”  All picks are created equal under the immutable laws of degeneracy.  Nonetheless, SNL will list the picks in order of strength, highest to lowest, for your ruminating pleasure. 

Our-Kansas (+19) at Auburn:  Hell of a week on the plains of Auburn, nursing a loss to Vandy (where the alums tie sweaters in loose knots and rape them ov3r their shoulders) and mourning the demise of your OC.  Yep, the War Eagles are out of the SEC race and should be a dispirited bunch this Saturday and, oh yeah, havent scored 19-points since posting 21 on LSU (only 14 by the offense).

That said this pick isn’t about you, Auburn!  Put your egocentrism and penchant self-agrandizement aside for once.  This pick is about Arkansas’ ability to move the ball through the air and the belief that Petrino’s Hawgs will be emboldened by last week’s 38-7 loss to Florida. 

Pick:  Hawgs (+19)

Notre Dame (+9) v. UNC:  SNL has gone against the Irish 12 times in the last 2 years for a 9-3 ATS record.  In fact, SNL has been banking on the ineptitude of the Irish for so long he doesn’t know how to pick any other way.  That said the Irish can score nowadays, and yes, get scored on more than a sorority girl on spring break. 

Still, UNC is playing with a back-up and hasn’t been nearly as dominant statistically as the final score of the UM and UConn games would have you believe.  SNL like the points and asks that you refrain from deluging him with e-mails ridiculing Charlie Weis’ corpulence.  He’s overweight, we get it.

Pick:  Notre Dame (+9)

Cocks v. UK (+3):  Vegas still loves the OBC, that much is obvious.  UK has a feisty bunch and they play hard, real hard.  The OBC, god bless him and his full head of hair, has fielded yet another schizophroenic club.  SNL likes the home doggie.

Pick:  UK (+3)

Oklahoma v. Texas (+7/o56.5):  The most interesting thing about this game is that we know both of these teams are good, but we don’t know how good.  Why?  Neither has played a ranked team to date.  So, SNL is banking on the fact that intense rivalries typically give rise to a heightened defensive intensity.  The offensive juggernauts are slowed a bit and SNL therefore likes the under.  A pick owed in significant part to the possibility of castration at the hands of either teams fans if you pick one side or the other.  

Pick:  OU/UT u56.5

Picks SNL likes enough to flirt with but not ask out:

UT (+13) over Georgia

Vandy (-2.5) over MSU

Sparty (-1.5) over NWU

Tags: ATS, Degenerate Gamblers, Picks