Urban Meyer

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tebow-volsIt was about this time last year when the Gator Nation was eating its own, attacking Meyer’s offensive acumen and lamenting the Gators desultory (here’s link for the thick of skull flock-members) offense and its inability to score points-alot of them.  This despite easy wins over Da’ U, Hawaii and those wascally Vols.  In the weeks that followed, Florida lost to Ole Miss, St. Tim of Tebow uttered the infamous  ”promise,” and Florida beheaded its remaining opponents like a medieval Monarch.   

Fueled by pre-season hype akin to “Beetle-Mania,” or so I’m told, a laughable pre-season slate, and Kiffin’s yapper, Saturday’s game against the suddenly-cool-to-hate-again Vols was going to be Florida’s Magnus Opus, a beating of biblical proportions meted out by the Orange and Blue Jesus, Tebow.  This game, circled on Gator calendars since Kiffin’s hire, was a statement game, pure and simple.  The statement, however, was not what the blood-lusting Gators wanted, but it’s probably the one they needed. 

First, let’s set out some basic facts.  It was obvious from the second quarter forward that UT could not beat Florida and it was equally obvious after 3 quarters that the Vols weren’t trying to beat Florida.  Florida punted only once and was a Tebow fumble away from posting 30 on UT.  Still, there’s no denying that on some level Kiffin got what he wanted, a “respectable” loss, and the Vol spin doctors are giddy with their “progress” under the Kiffin regime through 3 games.  Lost amidst UT’s euphoria are a couple of facts:  The Vols are 1-2 with a home loss to a PAC-10 team, and Florida is the top-ranked team and most consistent program in the country.  Framed as such Kiffin’s zeal in losing a not-as-close-as-it-seemed game to Florida (UT’s 4th consecutive loss to Florida) is more of an indictment of where his program is than the final score, however lopsided, could ever be.   In other words, the Vols are Ernie Els to Florida’s Tiger Woods.  Kapish?

For the Gators, it may be time to accept this year’s team for what it is, which is an excellent defense and an offense built around a power running game and make no mistake, Florida is a power running team no matter how many guys you see lining up at receivor.    If you look across the aisle Gator fan, you’ll see that your likely date in the A-T-L this year is fiendishly employing this same recipe albeit in slightly different fashion.  Darth Saban, whose Tide looks every bit the equal of Florida through 3 games, like Meyer, knows how to win.  Run.  Force turnovers.  Crush your opponents resolve with bone jarring hits on both sides of the ball.  For some, the transition may be difficult, the hi-fi pyro-technic display seared into our collective psyche by Harvin and Murphy put on last year was great.  Now, the Gator Nation is in effect breaking up with that really hot girl with a store-bought pair and questionable morals for the smart and pretty girl that you can present to the parentals without hesitation.  Sure, there will be the occasional E-SPIN highlight to satisfy the talking heads,  akin to a drunken make-out with your loose ex while your current is out of town, but you must stay the course!    In the end, the pretty and smart girl with a college degree and foresight is more than ample to get you where you want to be.  And, this years lo-fi edition can still do something that no other Gator team has ever done, win ALL of it’s games.  Do this and no one will remember that you didn’t beat Tennessee by 40 points.  A point which Meyer is well aware of. 

Moving on…SNL is 6-4 ATs through 3 weeks.  Left some easy winners on the table this week, but flock members who were around last year know that weeks 5 through 11 are where the coin is made.  FSUwas impressive and helped UF’s SOS with a dominant win over the Mormon hordes.  Maybe some of the ‘Noles will be “making it rain” in a strip club near you after all.  The Men of Troy, helmed by the Poodle, have blissfully let us all off the hook early this year, losing as a 19-point favorite at Washington.   For those who missed it, Jake Locker was phenomenal in the 4th-quarter.   Unlike year’s past, however, this year’s Trojans suck, predictable on offense, no playmakers at wideout.  Stay tuned, more losses to come, maybe SNL will start following the Poodle’s “tweets.”  LSU is getting better each week, and bye the bye, how impressive does LSU’s win at Washington look now? 

Coming soon……

Thurday’s Picks

Vincenzo’s Revenge

WHY SNL is smarter than you (wayyyyyyyyyy smarter, in fact)

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: ATS, BCS, Degenerate Gamblers, Gators, LSU, Urban, Urban Meyer, Vandy

SNL has chronicled throughout the first 4 games of the Gators 2008 campaign the discontent of many Gator loyalists who, like most of the national media, expected an offense that would leave teams demoralized and humbled after playing Florida in 2008. 

The decibel of the voices of Gator fans espousing their disapproval have varied somewhat, but have been largely tempered by the Gators (seemingly) lopsided wins against UM and UT. 

As one might imagine, the discontent, fomented by the obvious inaduequacy of the offense, has morphed overnight into a full-blown rebellion against Gator offensive coordinator, Dan Mullen after Saturday’s loss. 

In fact, if SNL’s sensory perception faculties are accurate (which is debatable due to a very strong pre-game cocktail or 2), the exact moment that the largely diffuse rumblings regarding Mullen’s ability to coordinate this offense coalesced into a full-blown insurrection occurred sometime in the 3rd quarter of Saturday’s loss.  

The manifestations of this are difficult, if not impossible to quantify.  But suffice it to say that the Meyer regime has built considerable credit based on the improbable 2006 title run.  Meyer’s ability to lead this team remains unquestioned, and deservedly so.  However, the rumblings from the Gator faithful, which are currently directed at Mullen and his beleaguered offense, evidence the beginnings of an erosion of faith which, if not stemmed by some impressive showings in the weeks to come, will become increasingly difficult to ignore.  In short, Gator fans do not take kindly to losing at The Swamp as a 23-point favorite.  And, Gator fans will be forced at some point to acknowledge that Meyer is 6-4 in his last 10 SEC contests, hardly an intimidating statistic for a Coach so wildly heralded only a few short years ago.

To be sure, there are some positive signs after 4 games-the defense forced Ole Miss into a “3 and out” on 9 of 13 Ole Miss possessions, and the offense moved the ball at will in the 4th quarter.  However, the small picture for Florida right now includes an inability to consistently protect Tebow, and an even more alarming inability to throw the ball downfield against defenses that are clearly aligned to stop Tebow (and the run)and want to see Florida beat them with the pass to a wide recevier who isn’t named Harvin. 

To make matters worse, questions regarding Tebow’s ability to pass have resurfaced given the number of missed passes and the Defense, while improved, remains susceptible to the long ball (or run) and lacks the disruptive force at tackle necessary to ascend from the “good” to the “dominant” category. 

The sum of all of this may well be that the expectations of this Gator team, which seemd reasonable on paper, were at the end of the day, unreasonable.  After 1/3 of the season, this remains a team with some serious warts, which may or may not be correctible.  Best case scenario is that this team, which has heart and some talent, finds it way to a 10-2 record and SEC East title where it will face an imposing Alabama or rematch LSU. 

The worst case scenario, unfathomable only a week ago, is that this team manages to lose to both LSU and Georgia, and finds a way to slip up at FSU or against UK/Vandy, which yields the familiar and uninspiring trip to Orlando to play Wisconsin or Illinois.  The one certainty is that between Meyer and Tebow, there is considerable determination and heart on the side of the Gators, and if there’s a way to will this team to 11-1, these two will find it.  However, should they fail for whatever reason, the chorus of doubters will find a life of its own and, much like contemporary life in Tally, Knoxville, Clemson, and South Carolina, yield a distracted team and a disprited fan base. 

Either way, get ready for a bumpy ride, because this trek will be anything but easy.

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: Cap 1, SEC, UF, Urban Meyer

The Big Picture:  The big picture is what SNL, and most if not all Gators will use for solace in the days ahead.  Aided by Georgia’s humbling defeat, the fact is that the Gators’ goal of winning the SEC East is still very much alive.

In fact, and somewhat ironically, the Gators chances of winning the East look better than they did last week, due in large part to the Dawgs’ undressing at the hands of the Tide (who look damn good on both lines of scrimmage by the way).  This assessment is not an indictment of Georgia, who remains more than capable of making it 2 in a row against Florida, but more of an educated guess based on Georgia’s (un)fortunate draw this year, which sends them to Baton Rouge to play a very strong LSU squad, and includes games against Auburn and UT, who remains “game,” at least for now.

However, the big(ger) picture is still less than peachy as the SEC West seems to be far and away the stronger of the divisions and the Gator squad that played Saturday would have little, if any, chance to beat LSU or Alabama (or even Auburn or Ole Miss for that matter) in the ATL. 

Nonetheless, part of Urban’s reconstitution of his team this week will be to point out that the Gators’ goals of winning Championships (East, SEC and arguably, National), remain unscathed for the most part-though the margin for error has been drastically diminished.  Before Saturday, the most likely scenario was a Gator split of the LSU and Georgia games, with the Gators taking the East by virtue of a second Georgia loss to LSU, Auburn, ‘Bama (done), or UT. 

Today the Gators are losers at home as 23-point favorite, which apparently is deemed by the national media to be a worse loss than the Trojans Thurday night beatdown by the Beavers.  For those who watched both games, it seems that USC’s loss was clearly the worse of the two, but to spend an inordinate amount of time on this issue is clearly missing the forest for the trees.  The upshot of the CFB landscape in Gainesville today is that Florida no longer has the “luxury” of losing to LSU or Georgia as a loss to either, while not fatal to SEC East aspirations, would be damaging enough nationally to assure being omitted from any BCS-title consideration (assuming the Gators could win the SEC, which as stated above, seems unlikely at this point).

The sum total of this fine mess is that everything remains on the table for Florida, but not for long if there is not significant improvement between now and October 17, when a very capable LSU squad comes to The Swamp.

Up Next:  The Little Picture

-So Sayeth the Shepherd

Tags: Cap 1, SEC, UGA, Urban Meyer, UT

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